Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vilardi wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Koivu 54.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 62.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 66.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Vilardi
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Vilardi
Koivu
Last 6: Vilardi 3-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Vilardi
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vilardi
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vilardi
2
1
Vilardi
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,053)
54.0% (9,465)
-8.2%
Power Play
51.3% (195)
58.6% (2,100)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
48.9% (1,688)
-0.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Vilardi is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vilardi shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Koivu
Home
47.2% (659)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
46.1% (616)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Vilardi
Koivu
P1
49.6%
53.5%
P2
43.7%
54.6%
P3
46.8%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |