Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 52.8%). Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Vilardi wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 51.6% vs Zajac 52.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 80.6%
Defensive zone
Zajac 52.8%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 68.6%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Vilardi
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Vilardi
Zajac
Last 7: Vilardi 1-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Vilardi
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Vilardi
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Vilardi
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (84)
53.9% (851)
-3.9%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
49.0% (49)
+36.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.9% (190)
+51.1%
On penalty kill, Vilardi has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Vilardi is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Vilardi shoots right. Zajac is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Zajac
Home
52.9% (87)
53.3% (533)
Away
60.0% (5)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Vilardi
Zajac
P1
54.5%
54.3%
P2
60.7%
51.8%
P3
45.2%
53.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
53.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |