Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Parise on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vilardi wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Parise shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Parise 42.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parise 65.8%
Defensive zone
Parise 52.0%
Neutral zone
Parise 53.2%
Result
Zach Parise favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Vilardi
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Vilardi
Parise
Last 7: Vilardi 3-4 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
4
Vilardi
Parise
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
0
Vilardi
Parise
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,053)
40.9% (352)
+4.9%
Power Play
51.3% (195)
41.1% (95)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
35.0% (40)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Vilardi has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Vilardi is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vilardi shoots right. Parise is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Parise
Home
47.2% (659)
36.1% (238)
Away
46.1% (616)
44.8% (250)
By Period
Vilardi
Parise
P1
49.6%
44.8%
P2
43.7%
39.4%
P3
46.8%
37.3%
OT
33.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
49.8%
36.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.7%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Zach Parise |