Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Parise on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vilardi wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Parise shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.5% vs Parise 46.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parise 72.3%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 73.1%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 54.2%
Result
Zach Parise favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Vilardi
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Vilardi
Parise
Last 7: Vilardi 3-4 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
4
Vilardi
Parise
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
0
Vilardi
Parise
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (564)
45.0% (40)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (45)
36.8% (38)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
50.0% (4)
-2.0%
On power play, Vilardi has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Vilardi is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Vilardi shoots right. Parise is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Parise
Home
47.3% (330)
39.5% (38)
Away
44.4% (304)
43.2% (44)
By Period
Vilardi
Parise
P1
49.0%
38.1%
P2
43.2%
47.4%
P3
45.7%
35.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Zach Parise |