Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Haas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Haas 46.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.4%
Defensive zone
Haas 58.7%
Neutral zone
Haas 61.3%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Ryan
Haas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Ryan
Haas
Last 9: Ryan 4-5 Haas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Haas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Haas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
2
4
Ryan
Haas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Haas
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
44.2% (240)
+10.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
50.0% (8)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (41)
50.0% (58)
-8.5%
On power play, Haas has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haas shoots right. Ryan is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Ryan shoots right. Haas is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Ryan
Haas
Home
50.9% (167)
46.8% (190)
Away
53.5% (127)
43.1% (116)
By Period
Ryan
Haas
P1
44.0%
43.6%
P2
61.7%
42.1%
P3
50.5%
50.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |