Scouting Report
Gaetan Haas holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haas wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 44.3% vs Hughes 36.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.3%
Defensive zone
Haas 84.6%
Neutral zone
Haas 69.2%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Haas
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Haas
Hughes
Last 5: Haas 3-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Haas
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
1
0
Haas
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
2
1
Haas
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (616)
36.0% (2,887)
+6.4%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
38.8% (224)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
31.0% (42)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Haas has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Haas is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Haas shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Haas
Hughes
Home
45.8% (371)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
41.1% (343)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Haas
Hughes
P1
39.6%
36.9%
P2
43.8%
33.6%
P3
47.1%
38.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |