Scouting Report
Gaetan Haas holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haas wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 43.7% vs Hughes 38.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 62.6%
Defensive zone
Haas 79.2%
Neutral zone
Haas 67.6%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Haas
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Haas
Hughes
Last 5: Haas 3-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Haas
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
1
0
Haas
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
2
1
Haas
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (376)
35.6% (362)
+5.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
38.5% (91)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
33.3% (9)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Haas has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Haas is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Haas shoots right. Hughes is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Haas
Hughes
Home
44.8% (181)
37.6% (255)
Away
40.1% (227)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Haas
Hughes
P1
36.8%
28.5%
P2
45.1%
39.2%
P3
44.4%
40.8%
Final 5 min
40.2%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
42.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |