Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haas wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 44.3% vs Tavares 54.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haas 69.4%
Defensive zone
Haas 90.7%
Neutral zone
Haas 79.0%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Haas
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Haas
Tavares
Last 10: Haas 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Haas
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Haas
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Haas
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (616)
54.0% (16,108)
-11.6%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
56.5% (4,283)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
50.6% (620)
+0.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haas is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Haas shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Haas
Tavares
Home
45.8% (371)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
41.1% (343)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Haas
Tavares
P1
39.6%
55.0%
P2
43.8%
54.1%
P3
47.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |