Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haas wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 46.6% vs Thompson 50.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 72.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Haas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Haas
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haas
1
0
Haas
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
2
1
Haas
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (240)
49.6% (230)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (58)
53.8% (52)
-3.8%
On even strength, Thompson has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Haas is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Haas shoots right. Thompson is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Haas
Thompson
Home
46.8% (190)
52.2% (134)
Away
43.1% (116)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Haas
Thompson
P1
43.6%
54.5%
P2
42.1%
48.0%
P3
50.5%
48.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |