Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haas wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 44.3% vs Paul 52.2% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 54.8%
Defensive zone
Haas 50.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Haas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Haas
Paul
Last 8: Haas 4-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Haas
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
2
1
Haas
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
2
1
Haas
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (616)
52.5% (3,796)
-10.1%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
56.5% (480)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
46.7% (574)
+4.1%
On even strength, Paul has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Haas is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Haas shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Haas
Paul
Home
45.8% (371)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
41.1% (343)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Haas
Paul
P1
39.6%
53.9%
P2
43.8%
51.0%
P3
47.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |