Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haas wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 46.6% vs Paul 51.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 56.2%
Neutral zone
Haas 63.4%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Haas
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Haas
Paul
Last 8: Haas 4-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Haas
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
2
1
Haas
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
2
1
Haas
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (240)
56.2% (274)
-12.0%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
52.9% (17)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (58)
43.4% (129)
+6.6%
On even strength, Paul has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Haas is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Haas shoots right. Paul is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Haas
Paul
Home
46.8% (190)
52.3% (235)
Away
43.1% (116)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Haas
Paul
P1
43.6%
53.2%
P2
42.1%
53.8%
P3
50.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |