Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Haas wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 44.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.4%
Defensive zone
Haas 52.9%
Neutral zone
Haas 52.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Haas
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Haas
Stastny
Last 10: Haas 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Haas
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
7
4
Haas
Stastny
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
2
1
Haas
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (616)
54.6% (10,616)
-12.2%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
59.1% (1,994)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
52.9% (1,119)
-2.1%
On even strength, Stastny has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Haas is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Haas shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Haas
Stastny
Home
45.8% (371)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
41.1% (343)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Haas
Stastny
P1
39.6%
56.3%
P2
43.8%
55.4%
P3
47.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |