Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Haas wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 44.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haas 78.4%
Defensive zone
Haas 81.6%
Neutral zone
Haas 81.4%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Haas
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Haas
O'Reilly
Last 6: Haas 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Haas
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Haas
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Haas
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (616)
56.2% (15,260)
-13.8%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
58.8% (3,445)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
51.4% (2,811)
-0.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Haas is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (500).
Haas shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Haas
O'Reilly
Home
45.8% (371)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
41.1% (343)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Haas
O'Reilly
P1
39.6%
55.6%
P2
43.8%
57.0%
P3
47.1%
55.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |