Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Haas wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 43.7% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haas 75.2%
Defensive zone
Haas 70.8%
Neutral zone
Haas 72.4%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Haas
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Haas
O'Reilly
Last 6: Haas 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Haas
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Haas
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Haas
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (376)
57.3% (1,073)
-16.1%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
58.5% (258)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.7% (225)
+6.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Haas is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Haas shoots right. O'Reilly is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Haas
O'Reilly
Home
44.8% (181)
59.2% (765)
Away
40.1% (227)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Haas
O'Reilly
P1
36.8%
55.6%
P2
45.1%
61.0%
P3
44.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
42.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |