Scouting Report
Gemel Smith holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 52.5% vs Wallmark 50.3% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 55.5%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 57.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.5%
Result
Gemel Smith favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Smith
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Smith
Wallmark
Last 5: Smith 3-2 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Smith
Wallmark
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
65.0% (20)
50.2% (633)
+14.8%
On even strength, Smith has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Smith is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Smith shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Smith
Wallmark
Home
80.0% (5)
48.6% (368)
Away
60.0% (15)
51.9% (385)
By Period
Smith
Wallmark
P1
57.1%
49.0%
P2
71.4%
55.0%
P3
66.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
65.0%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Gemel Smith |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Gemel Smith |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Gemel Smith |