Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 47.0%). Smith wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.7% vs Foligno 47.3% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.7%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Smith
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (212)
47.6% (553)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.3% (64)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
34.7% (75)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Smith is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots left. Foligno is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Smith
Foligno
Home
43.0% (114)
46.0% (365)
Away
50.4% (113)
48.0% (327)
By Period
Smith
Foligno
P1
45.6%
48.7%
P2
49.4%
49.8%
P3
45.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.7%
Foligno
42.0%▬
41.0%
47.0%