Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.7% vs Kruger 50.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 80.5%
Defensive zone
Kruger 67.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 56.9%
Result
Gemel Smith favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Smith
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Smith
Kruger
Last 8: Smith 3-5 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Kruger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
2
Smith
Kruger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
3
Smith
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (212)
52.4% (3,509)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
46.5% (99)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
42.9% (860)
-33.8%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Smith is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Smith shoots left. Kruger is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Home / Away
Smith
Kruger
Home
43.0% (114)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
50.4% (113)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Smith
Kruger
P1
45.6%
49.7%
P2
49.4%
49.7%
P3
45.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.7%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |