Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.2% vs Kruger 49.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kruger 62.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.3%
Result
Gemel Smith favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Smith
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Smith
Kruger
Last 8: Smith 3-5 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Kruger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
2
Smith
Kruger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
3
Smith
Kruger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (55)
52.5% (621)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
31.0% (100)
-6.0%
On even strength, Kruger has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Smith is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Smith shoots left. Kruger is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Smith
Kruger
Home
40.6% (32)
50.9% (395)
Away
44.4% (27)
47.0% (332)
By Period
Smith
Kruger
P1
52.9%
47.6%
P2
37.5%
46.4%
P3
38.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
42.4%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |