Scouting Report
Gemel Smith holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 52.5% vs Trocheck 51.9% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 68.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 57.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 52.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Smith
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Smith
Trocheck
Last 8: Smith 5-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
2
Smith
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
65.0% (20)
51.6% (697)
+13.4%
On even strength, Smith has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Smith is 70.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Smith shoots left. Trocheck is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Smith
Trocheck
Home
80.0% (5)
56.8% (400)
Away
60.0% (15)
47.9% (432)
By Period
Smith
Trocheck
P1
57.1%
49.1%
P2
71.4%
53.5%
P3
66.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
46.0%▬
47.0%
65.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Gemel Smith |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Gemel Smith |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Gemel Smith |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Gemel Smith |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Gemel Smith |