Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs McKegg 49.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 74.3%
Defensive zone
McKegg 73.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 51.7%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Gaudette
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gaudette
McKegg
Last 6: Gaudette 3-3 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
1
Gaudette
McKegg
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Gaudette
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Gaudette
McKegg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
48.9% (184)
-7.9%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
62.5% (8)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
47.4% (19)
-4.5%
On power play, McKegg has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. McKegg is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Gaudette
McKegg
Home
46.0% (250)
50.0% (112)
Away
35.3% (204)
48.5% (99)
By Period
Gaudette
McKegg
P1
40.8%
42.4%
P2
42.8%
55.4%
P3
39.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |