Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.3% vs McKegg 49.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 76.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 69.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 73.8%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Barkov
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Barkov
McKegg
Last 6: Barkov 5-1 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
McKegg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,326)
48.1% (189)
+6.5%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
25.0% (4)
+26.4%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
57.5% (40)
-10.5%
On power play, Barkov has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Barkov is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Barkov shoots left. McKegg is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Barkov
McKegg
Home
55.3% (816)
52.9% (102)
Away
51.9% (881)
46.6% (131)
By Period
Barkov
McKegg
P1
55.7%
48.5%
P2
53.7%
49.4%
P3
51.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |