Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Beagle 56.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 73.9%
Defensive zone
McKegg 77.6%
Neutral zone
McKegg 60.4%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
McKegg
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McKegg
Beagle
Last 10: McKegg 4-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
McKegg
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
3
McKegg
Beagle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
1
McKegg
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
57.5% (4,994)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
60.5% (119)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
54.2% (1,554)
-5.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
McKegg shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
McKegg
Beagle
Home
50.4% (554)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
48.1% (699)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
McKegg
Beagle
P1
48.7%
57.4%
P2
49.9%
57.1%
P3
48.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |