Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Larsson 49.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 68.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 61.6%
Neutral zone
McKegg 54.5%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
McKegg
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
McKegg
Larsson
Last 10: McKegg 2-8 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
1
McKegg
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
5
McKegg
Larsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
5
McKegg
Larsson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
50.5% (4,382)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
47.7% (153)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
43.8% (714)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
McKegg
Larsson
Home
50.4% (554)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
48.1% (699)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
McKegg
Larsson
P1
48.7%
51.6%
P2
49.9%
49.7%
P3
48.6%
47.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |