Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.5% vs Larsson 53.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 70.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 70.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 77.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
McKegg
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McKegg
Larsson
Last 5: McKegg 4-1 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (189)
54.8% (509)
-6.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
36.4% (11)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
54.6% (119)
+2.9%
On power play, Larsson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. McKegg is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
McKegg shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
McKegg
Larsson
Home
52.9% (102)
57.5% (301)
Away
46.6% (131)
51.8% (338)
By Period
McKegg
Larsson
P1
48.5%
54.8%
P2
49.4%
49.1%
P3
50.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |