Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.7%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 50.8% vs Larsson 50.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 76.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 79.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 50.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
McKegg
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
McKegg
Larsson
Last 10: McKegg 1-9 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
McKegg
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
5
McKegg
Larsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
McKegg
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (281)
53.8% (773)
-2.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.9% (218)
-39.9%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
McKegg shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
McKegg
Larsson
Home
51.1% (133)
51.2% (490)
Away
51.0% (153)
50.1% (503)
By Period
McKegg
Larsson
P1
48.9%
50.6%
P2
48.9%
53.1%
P3
54.9%
48.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |