Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 66.6%
Defensive zone
McKegg 87.4%
Neutral zone
McKegg 77.0%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
McKegg
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McKegg
Draisaitl
Last 8: McKegg 2-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
3
McKegg
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
McKegg
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McKegg
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
52.9% (10,240)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
55.7% (2,827)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
51.2% (977)
-2.4%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
McKegg
Draisaitl
Home
50.4% (554)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
48.1% (699)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
McKegg
Draisaitl
P1
48.7%
52.7%
P2
49.9%
53.6%
P3
48.6%
53.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |