Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Kempe 40.7% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 75.7%
Defensive zone
McKegg 84.9%
Neutral zone
McKegg 72.6%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
McKegg
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McKegg
Kempe
Last 5: McKegg 4-1 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
0
McKegg
Kempe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
1
McKegg
Kempe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
38.7% (380)
+10.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
31.3% (16)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Kempe is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
McKegg
Kempe
Home
50.4% (554)
40.1% (177)
Away
48.1% (699)
36.9% (222)
By Period
McKegg
Kempe
P1
48.7%
34.7%
P2
49.9%
40.4%
P3
48.6%
38.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |