Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Bonino 50.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McKegg 62.1%
Defensive zone
McKegg 55.6%
Neutral zone
McKegg 60.9%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
McKegg
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
McKegg
Bonino
Last 10: McKegg 2-8 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
3
McKegg
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
McKegg
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
4
McKegg
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
50.6% (8,315)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
54.1% (972)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
44.6% (1,693)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
McKegg
Bonino
Home
50.4% (554)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.1% (699)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
McKegg
Bonino
P1
48.7%
50.6%
P2
49.9%
48.5%
P3
48.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |