Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McKegg wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Danault 53.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 63.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 66.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 64.8%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
McKegg
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
McKegg
Danault
Last 9: McKegg 5-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
McKegg
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
4
0
McKegg
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
McKegg
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
53.6% (9,447)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
61.4% (757)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
47.4% (1,702)
+1.4%
On power play, Danault has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
McKegg shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Home / Away
McKegg
Danault
Home
50.4% (554)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
48.1% (699)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
McKegg
Danault
P1
48.7%
53.7%
P2
49.9%
53.5%
P3
48.6%
52.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |