Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 50.2%
Defensive zone
McKegg 78.2%
Neutral zone
McKegg 67.6%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
McKegg
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
McKegg
Stamkos
Last 10: McKegg 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
McKegg
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
McKegg
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
50.4% (9,799)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
55.1% (1,725)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
49.7% (825)
-0.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
McKegg shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
McKegg
Stamkos
Home
50.4% (554)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
48.1% (699)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
McKegg
Stamkos
P1
48.7%
49.1%
P2
49.9%
52.7%
P3
48.6%
50.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |