Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.5% vs Stamkos 52.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 65.9%
Defensive zone
McKegg 74.1%
Neutral zone
McKegg 53.5%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McKegg
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McKegg
Stamkos
Last 5: McKegg 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
McKegg
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
McKegg
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (189)
51.4% (725)
-3.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.7% (123)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
61.4% (44)
-3.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McKegg is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
McKegg shoots left. Stamkos is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
McKegg
Stamkos
Home
52.9% (102)
53.3% (426)
Away
46.6% (131)
51.3% (466)
By Period
McKegg
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
56.6%
P2
49.4%
48.2%
P3
50.9%
52.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |