Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McKegg wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 50.8% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 63.9%
Defensive zone
McKegg 54.3%
Neutral zone
McKegg 63.7%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
McKegg
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McKegg
Stamkos
Last 6: McKegg 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
McKegg
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
1
McKegg
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (281)
52.9% (735)
-1.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.4% (73)
-28.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.8% (145)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McKegg is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
McKegg shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
McKegg
Stamkos
Home
51.1% (133)
54.1% (481)
Away
51.0% (153)
52.1% (472)
By Period
McKegg
Stamkos
P1
48.9%
50.2%
P2
48.9%
53.4%
P3
54.9%
55.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |