Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 50.0% vs Bozak 56.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 51.8%
Defensive zone
McKegg 79.7%
Neutral zone
McKegg 67.0%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
McKegg
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McKegg
Bozak
Last 9: McKegg 3-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
5
McKegg
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (171)
56.5% (1,119)
-7.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.4% (226)
+41.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (20)
+0.0%
On power play, McKegg has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. McKegg is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (86).
McKegg shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
McKegg
Bozak
Home
50.7% (75)
60.1% (682)
Away
49.5% (105)
53.2% (684)
By Period
McKegg
Bozak
P1
45.9%
57.7%
P2
53.3%
53.7%
P3
50.8%
59.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |