Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.7%). Look for McKegg on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
McKegg leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 74.8%
Defensive zone
McKegg 52.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 58.1%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
McKegg
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
McKegg
Johnson
Last 10: McKegg 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
4
1
McKegg
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
3
1
McKegg
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
McKegg
Johnson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,143)
49.8% (5,396)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
54.6% (885)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
42.3% (707)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
McKegg shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
McKegg
Johnson
Home
50.4% (554)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.1% (699)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
McKegg
Johnson
P1
48.7%
50.1%
P2
49.9%
50.6%
P3
48.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |