Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nemisz wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nemisz 46.6% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nemisz 67.4%
Defensive zone
Nemisz 61.6%
Neutral zone
Nemisz 68.0%
Result
Greg Nemisz favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Nemisz
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nemisz
Horcoff
Last 5: Nemisz 1-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Nemisz
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Nemisz
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Nemisz
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nemisz
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (48)
49.9% (976)
-10.3%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Nemisz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Nemisz shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Nemisz
Horcoff
Home
42.4% (33)
52.1% (755)
Away
33.3% (15)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Nemisz
Horcoff
P1
34.8%
49.3%
P2
40.0%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
50.7%
Final 5 min
66.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nemisz
40.0%▬
39.2%
39.6%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Greg Nemisz |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |