Scouting Report
Colin Fraser holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Campbell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 50.2% vs Campbell 48.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Campbell 55.7%
Defensive zone
Campbell 61.1%
Neutral zone
Campbell 59.3%
Result
Gregory Campbell favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Fraser
Campbell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fraser
Campbell
Last 5: Fraser 1-4 Campbell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Campbell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Campbell
0
4
Fraser
Campbell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Campbell
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (162)
47.4% (641)
+2.0%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (4)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (104)
-10.0%
On power play, Fraser has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Campbell shoots left. Fraser is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Fraser shoots left. Campbell is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Fraser
Campbell
Home
50.0% (84)
47.8% (337)
Away
50.6% (89)
47.8% (412)
By Period
Fraser
Campbell
P1
53.9%
47.7%
P2
51.6%
49.4%
P3
40.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |