Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Campbell 47.7% vs Tavares 49.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.6%
Defensive zone
Campbell 75.8%
Neutral zone
Campbell 58.0%
Result
Gregory Campbell favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Campbell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Campbell
Tavares
Last 7: Campbell 2-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Campbell
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Campbell
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Campbell
1
0
Campbell
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Campbell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (341)
48.6% (716)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.4% (208)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
33.3% (6)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Campbell has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Campbell is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Campbell shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Campbell
Tavares
Home
50.5% (186)
50.7% (448)
Away
44.2% (215)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Campbell
Tavares
P1
48.0%
52.8%
P2
48.6%
51.4%
P3
44.6%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
47.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |