Scouting Report
Gregory Campbell holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Campbell on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Campbell 50.1% vs Ellis 46.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Ellis leads 16-16 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Campbell 51.6%
Defensive zone
Campbell 52.3%
Neutral zone
Campbell 50.1%
Result
Gregory Campbell favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Campbell
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
16
(32 meetings)
16
16
Campbell
Ellis
Last 10: Campbell 5-5 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
3
5
Campbell
Ellis
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Campbell
5
1
Campbell
Ellis
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
8
10
Campbell
Ellis
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Campbell
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (3,122)
47.3% (607)
+3.4%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
28.6% (7)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (580)
42.1% (95)
+4.8%
On power play, Campbell has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Campbell is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,448).
Campbell shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Campbell
Ellis
Home
51.5% (1,876)
48.5% (303)
Away
48.6% (1,898)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Campbell
Ellis
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
50.5%
46.2%
P3
49.8%
41.3%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
50.1%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |