Scouting Report
Gregory Campbell holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ellis on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Campbell 50.6% vs Ellis 48.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Ellis leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Campbell 50.3%
Defensive zone
Campbell 60.1%
Neutral zone
Campbell 51.9%
Result
Gregory Campbell favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Campbell
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Campbell
Ellis
Last 10: Campbell 4-6 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
5
Campbell
Ellis
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Campbell
3
1
Campbell
Ellis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Campbell
7
5
Campbell
Ellis
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Campbell
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (558)
48.0% (223)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
0.0% (1)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (100)
50.0% (20)
-6.0%
On power play, Campbell has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Campbell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Campbell shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Campbell
Ellis
Home
53.6% (351)
51.4% (107)
Away
47.7% (327)
45.3% (137)
By Period
Campbell
Ellis
P1
53.2%
46.7%
P2
49.3%
47.3%
P3
49.8%
50.8%
Final 5 min
46.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |