Scouting Report
Gregory Campbell holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Campbell wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Campbell 48.1% vs Nash 46.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 69.0%
Defensive zone
Campbell 57.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 56.8%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Campbell
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Campbell
Nash
Last 8: Campbell 3-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Campbell
2
0
Campbell
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Campbell
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
3
Campbell
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Campbell
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (641)
46.0% (615)
+1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
58.6% (29)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
27.3% (22)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Campbell has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Campbell is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Campbell shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Campbell
Nash
Home
47.8% (337)
54.1% (320)
Away
47.8% (412)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Campbell
Nash
P1
47.7%
44.8%
P2
49.4%
47.5%
P3
46.2%
44.9%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
47.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Riley Nash |