Alex Turcotte vs Hendrix Lapierre
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.2% vs Lapierre 42.5% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 71.6%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 57.5%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 70.1%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Turcotte
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Turcotte
Lapierre
Last 5: Turcotte 3-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
3
1
Turcotte
Lapierre
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Turcotte
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (460)
39.9% (248)
+13.6%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
25.0% (4)
+45.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Lapierre is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Lapierre
Home
53.2% (263)
43.8% (137)
Away
54.8% (208)
34.5% (116)
By Period
Turcotte
Lapierre
P1
57.0%
53.7%
P2
59.6%
39.1%
P3
44.1%
25.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
38.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |