Hendrix Lapierre vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 42.7% vs McCarron 52.5% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 52.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 92.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 81.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Lapierre
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lapierre
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (248)
53.1% (672)
-13.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
18.2% (11)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.7% (205)
-53.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lapierre is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Lapierre shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Lapierre
McCarron
Home
44.2% (138)
52.8% (477)
Away
34.5% (116)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Lapierre
McCarron
P1
54.2%
56.5%
P2
39.1%
53.2%
P3
25.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |