Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 42.7% vs Steel 50.6% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 65.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 65.6%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 67.1%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Lapierre
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lapierre
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Lapierre
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (248)
52.5% (200)
-12.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
71.4% (7)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (45)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lapierre is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Lapierre shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Steel
Home
44.2% (138)
49.5% (109)
Away
34.5% (116)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Lapierre
Steel
P1
54.2%
49.5%
P2
39.1%
47.5%
P3
25.3%
56.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Sam Steel |