Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Borgstrom wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 42.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 69.9%
Defensive zone
Borgstrom 65.3%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 71.1%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Borgstrom
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Borgstrom
Seguin
Last 5: Borgstrom 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Borgstrom
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Borgstrom
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (384)
53.9% (996)
-13.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
56.4% (94)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
52.1% (165)
-12.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Borgstrom is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Borgstrom shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Seguin
Home
44.2% (190)
55.9% (633)
Away
37.7% (215)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Borgstrom
Seguin
P1
46.6%
55.8%
P2
32.9%
51.7%
P3
44.8%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |