Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Borgstrom on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Borgstrom 49.6% vs Gourde 52.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Borgstrom 54.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.8%
Neutral zone
Borgstrom 61.0%
Result
Henrik Borgstrom favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Borgstrom
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Borgstrom
Gourde
Last 5: Borgstrom 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Borgstrom
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Borgstrom
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Borgstrom
2
1
Borgstrom
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Borgstrom
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (27)
50.0% (132)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Borgstrom is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Borgstrom shoots left. Gourde is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Borgstrom
Gourde
Home
41.7% (12)
64.6% (79)
Away
53.3% (15)
45.2% (93)
By Period
Borgstrom
Gourde
P1
44.4%
57.7%
P2
57.1%
47.7%
P3
45.5%
58.2%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
48.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |