Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sedin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Sedin 46.3% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 63.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 96.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 90.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
MacKenzie
Sedin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
MacKenzie
Sedin
Last 9: MacKenzie 7-2 Sedin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
1
2
MacKenzie
Sedin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
0
MacKenzie
Sedin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Sedin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Sedin
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
45.0% (1,034)
+10.8%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
52.6% (251)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
37.1% (62)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedin shoots left. MacKenzie is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (494).
MacKenzie shoots left. Sedin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Sedin
Home
54.4% (463)
47.0% (725)
Away
55.3% (338)
44.9% (622)
By Period
MacKenzie
Sedin
P1
54.2%
45.6%
P2
54.0%
49.3%
P3
56.7%
43.2%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2016 | OT | 02:07 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |