Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sedin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Sedin 46.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 83.2%
Defensive zone
Sedin 50.1%
Neutral zone
Sedin 66.9%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Nielsen
Sedin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nielsen
Sedin
Last 6: Nielsen 1-5 Sedin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
0
1
Nielsen
Sedin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
1
2
Nielsen
Sedin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedin
0
2
Nielsen
Sedin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Sedin
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
45.0% (1,034)
+5.7%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
52.6% (251)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
37.1% (62)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedin shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Sedin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Sedin
Home
51.1% (595)
47.0% (725)
Away
49.1% (574)
44.9% (622)
By Period
Nielsen
Sedin
P1
53.2%
45.6%
P2
48.1%
49.3%
P3
49.3%
43.2%
OT
42.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |