Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sedin wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 51.8% vs Spezza 55.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 87.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 54.6%
Neutral zone
Sedin 63.7%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Sedin
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Sedin
Spezza
Last 6: Sedin 1-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
1
0
Sedin
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Sedin
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Sedin
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (1,139)
56.1% (795)
-5.4%
Power Play
58.1% (203)
56.9% (211)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (29)
56.3% (190)
-1.1%
On even strength, Spezza has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Sedin is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Sedin shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Sedin
Spezza
Home
55.3% (718)
56.6% (532)
Away
48.4% (669)
56.0% (678)
By Period
Sedin
Spezza
P1
50.8%
58.8%
P2
54.3%
59.6%
P3
50.1%
50.4%
OT
64.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |