Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 61 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 48.7% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 73-68 in 141 meetings
Offensive zone
Sedin 77.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 54.5%
Neutral zone
Sedin 60.4%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Sedin
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
73
(141 meetings)
68
73
Sedin
Pavelski
Last 10: Sedin 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
47
8
Sedin
Pavelski
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
10
51
Sedin
Pavelski
61 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
11
14
Sedin
Pavelski
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (7,963)
53.6% (8,791)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.6% (1,500)
58.2% (2,122)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (285)
50.9% (1,138)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Sedin is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,342).
Sedin shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Sedin
Pavelski
Home
50.4% (5,017)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
46.8% (4,760)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Sedin
Pavelski
P1
47.9%
53.5%
P2
50.3%
55.2%
P3
47.4%
53.9%
OT
55.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |