Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Sedin wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 51.8% vs Pavelski 53.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Sedin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sedin 68.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 88.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 69.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Sedin
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Sedin
Pavelski
Last 10: Sedin 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
5
0
Sedin
Pavelski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Sedin
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (1,139)
53.4% (682)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.1% (203)
63.7% (168)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (29)
48.1% (160)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Sedin has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Sedin is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Sedin shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Sedin
Pavelski
Home
55.3% (718)
59.0% (527)
Away
48.4% (669)
49.3% (493)
By Period
Sedin
Pavelski
P1
50.8%
50.8%
P2
54.3%
58.9%
P3
50.1%
53.6%
OT
64.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 20, 2011 | OT | 02:21 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 20, 2011 | OT | 02:21 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |